Russia-Ukraine War

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Chips
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by Chips »

Observe wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 22:34
fiksal wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 22:14The word "demilitarization" means no army in Ukraine. That's what Russia agreed to.
Yea, that's not going to happen. No one will accept demilitarization of Ukraine. Russia will have to back down on that one.
Isn't that why you put crazy clauses/mandates in? "See, we dropped this demand, so what are you going to compromise upon?"
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Observe
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by Observe »

Chips wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 23:27
Observe wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 22:34
fiksal wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 22:14The word "demilitarization" means no army in Ukraine. That's what Russia agreed to.
Yea, that's not going to happen. No one will accept demilitarization of Ukraine. Russia will have to back down on that one.
Isn't that why you put crazy clauses/mandates in? "See, we dropped this demand, so what are you going to compromise upon?"
No doubt.
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

Observe wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 22:34
fiksal wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 22:14The word "demilitarization" means no army in Ukraine. That's what Russia agreed to.
Yea, that's not going to happen. No one will accept demilitarization of Ukraine. Russia will have to back down on that one.
and Russians would reply equivalent to "you and what army?"

for this to work you have to show that either Russia or Russian economy can be fully collapsed, not on its last legs like right now
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

I got to listen to that snippet of what Witkoff said.

Russia will agree to Article 5 equivalent provided by US and Europe, but not to Article 5 provided by NATO.

There are two possibilities, either Lavrov was too drunk at that party or Trump administration is on drugs.


EDIT

more so, while every English news source is quoting Witkoff, none of pro Kremlin sources mention the security guarantees when they quote him.

perhaps he should read Putin's actual statement at the end. I can link it if you want to read that word salad. Putin talks about US wanting to understand Russia's security concerns, the real reason for the conflict and the "pain" that Ukrainians have caused. He does talk about security for Ukrainians after the war - that's the demilitarization topic. No mention of US or Europeans providing that.
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mr.WHO
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by mr.WHO »

fiksal wrote: Mon, 18. Aug 25, 14:29 Russia will agree to Article 5 equivalent provided by US and Europe, but not to Article 5 provided by NATO.
Either this make no sence, because this would be basically the same...or they are counting on it that this will be fake/unbinding guarantee, possibly even that majority of countries would chiken out of it.
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

feel free to call me out as wrong, but since Russians never made a statement to that effect and for last 8 years said the opposite, this is indeed nonsense.

Trump also just posted (again!) that Ukraine is at fault for this whole war, so indirectly confirming what I said by repeating Russian propaganda.

Witkoff should sober up.
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by esd »

I thought it was clear, Russia knows Trump is totally TACO. The US can make a security guarantee saying "if you touch Ukraine again after this agreement, we will intervene", but Putin has already seen that trump's threats are all hot air.

After a few years, maybe less, Russia will attack again and America will say "if you don't stop within two weeks we'll sanction you", knowing fully that they'll do no such thing. Trump's two weeks never expire.
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fiksal
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

I suppose yes, Russians could have said that to Trump in private, and not ever admit that publicly, knowing that they don't have to honor this and Trump will never follow through
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by felter »

Something tells me that Zelensky, Trump meeting didn't go the way that Trump thought it was going to go.
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by chew-ie »

It seems they at least discussed the suit topic again :roll:
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

it's been hours and not much of interest has been said. Except
One of the key outcomes was an agreement for the 30 countries dubbed the “Coalition of the Willing” to work on security guarantees for Ukraine and begin coordinated efforts with the US.

“That’s really important for security in Ukraine, for security in Europe, and for security in the United Kingdom,” Starmer said.
https://www.cnn.com/politics/live-news/ ... n-08-18-25

If that means that Coalition of the Willing will have troops on the ground, that's a progress. It is of course exactly what Kremlin said they wouldn't allow, but Europe should never ask the permission

Russia's and US fake commitment to security guarantees are taken literally by everyone else it seems. Take what Trump's admin said and go full throttle seems like an interesting strategy. Make something fake a reality
“[T]he optimism of your president is to be taken seriously,” French President Emmanuel Macron told NBC News. “So if he considers he can get a deal done, this is great news, and we have to do whatever we can to have a great deal.”
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/08/1 ... a-00513927
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felter
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by felter »

It's all just BS from trump he is flapping, flopping and flipping around like a fish out of water he has gone from a deal is on the books, it's up to Zelensky to accept it, to, well you know Putin might not accept a peace deal. Like I said yesterday, that meeting did not go the way it was meant to go for Trump, he even had to phone Putin during the meeting to let Putin know it was going the way they had planned for it to go. Just another total farce and even more lies from Trump, but then what do you expect it is Trump after all.
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by alt3rn1ty »

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fiksal
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

there's a politician that talks bs

and then there's a MAGA politician who doesn't live on the same planet

and even then there's a Russian politician who thinks the concept of a planet is Western Woke Liberal propaganda
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

I didnt check this propaganda source, weird, I thought the more official one would fire this first
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer said earlier that a "coalition of the willing" is ready to implement the plan to deploy a contingent to Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire. At the same time, the Times newspaper reported that London is reducing the scale of plans to deploy "peacekeepers" in Ukraine.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov emphasized that Russia does not see any possibility for a compromise on the issue of deploying foreign peacekeepers in Ukraine. He noted that in such a case, Western countries will not want to agree on the terms of a peaceful settlement, since this contingent will create "facts on the ground." The Foreign Ministry called the plans of some EU countries to send "peacekeepers" to Ukraine a provocative step aimed at maintaining unhealthy illusions among the authorities in Kyiv.
https://ria.ru/20250820/voyska-2036406555.html
Observe wrote: Sun, 17. Aug 25, 19:40 NATO membership is impossible. However, special envoy Steve Witkoff says that Putin has agreed to security guarantees for Ukraine.
We got to an agreement (from Putin) that the United States and other European nations could effectively offer Article 5-like language to cover a security guarantee...Putin staunchly opposes Ukraine joining Nato, and Witkoff says this arrangement could be an alternative if "the Ukrainians could live with that".
Hopefully, Ukraine will accept the reality and acquiesce to a non-NATO solution. Ukraine will also have to go along with the loss of land that Russia has taken. This has been obvious for a very long time and is as good as it is going to get.
Do you happen to have Witkoff's number to tell him he hallucinated talking to Russians?
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by burger1 »

Russian military drone crashes and explodes in eastern Poland, defence minister says. Looks like they are testing NATO again after "peace talks".

https://www.msn.com/en-nz/news/other/su ... r-AA1KSWPc
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by burger1 »

Russia blows up non military US electronics plant in Ukraine.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/ru ... r-AA1KWfkK

Russia attacked a civilian factory in western Ukraine owned by US company Flex Ltd, causing a massive fire and wounding at least 19 people.

Local authorities said that at around 4:40 a.m. local time, two Russian cruise missiles hit the company’s premises in Mukachevo.

“It was a regular civilian business, supported by American investment, producing everyday items like coffee machines,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said Thursday on social media.
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by clakclak »

So according to Reuters these are the key Russian demands for a peace deal:

- Ukraine gives up the Donbas (currently they still control around 12% of it)
- Other frontlines get frozen
- Russia gives up the small parts of Kharkiv, Sumy, and Dnipropetrovsk they control
- There will be no western troops stationed in Ukraine
- No NATO membership for Ukraine
- If Ukraine refuses, the war will continue

Source: https://www.reuters.com/world/china/put ... 025-08-21/
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fiksal
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Re: Russia-Ukraine War

Post by fiksal »

so
no swapping of territories since Russia loses none,
no security guarantees for Ukraine

we need to call Witkoff again. A bunch of clowns
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